{"id":34989,"date":"2021-07-05T15:13:03","date_gmt":"2021-07-05T15:13:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/hugoinvesting.com\/inflacion-intereses-e-inversion\/"},"modified":"2021-07-05T15:15:45","modified_gmt":"2021-07-05T15:15:45","slug":"inflacion-intereses-e-inversion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hugoinvesting.com\/es\/inflacion-intereses-e-inversion\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflaci\u00f3n, intereses e inversi\u00f3n"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Inflaci\u00f3n, intereses e inversi\u00f3n<\/strong><\/p>\n

Si inviertes y\/o sigues las noticias econ\u00f3micas, se trata principalmente de la inflaci\u00f3n, los tipos de inter\u00e9s y la forma en que los gobiernos centrales se ocupan de ellos. Dejando de lado las noticias, los mercados burs\u00e1tiles han decidido al menos marcar r\u00e9cords (estoy escribiendo esto a mediados de junio de 2021).<\/p>\n

Los mercados de valores<\/strong><\/p>\n

Con una inflaci\u00f3n elevada, los gobiernos centrales recortar\u00e1n sus trajes de apoyo y empezar\u00e1n a subir los tipos de inter\u00e9s (lentamente). Esto no es bueno para los precios de las acciones, ya que otras formas de inversi\u00f3n, como los bonos, vuelven a ser m\u00e1s interesantes.<\/p>\n

Inflaci\u00f3n, inflaci\u00f3n e inflaci\u00f3n<\/strong><\/p>\n

El mercado cree que la alta inflaci\u00f3n es ef\u00edmera. Los gobiernos centrales comparten esta opini\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Al examinar las fuerzas subyacentes que alimentan la inflaci\u00f3n, encontr\u00e9 algunos hechos notables. Comenz\u00f3 principalmente con las cifras de inflaci\u00f3n de Estados Unidos en abril, que fueron del 4,2% (anualizado). Sin embargo, s\u00f3lo las ventas de coches usados aumentaron un 10% ese mes. Este aumento supuso un tercio del incremento mensual total.<\/p>\n

Adem\u00e1s, el mayor aumento fue el de la gasolina, \u00a1un 49,6%!<\/p>\n

Creo que estas subidas derivadas de los factores anteriores no continuar\u00e1n tanto en un futuro pr\u00f3ximo. Esto se debe a que la demanda de coches de segunda mano se debe en gran medida a que estos mercados se cerraron en gran medida durante los cierres, y tambi\u00e9n a que algunos conductores de alquiler han cambiado a sus propios coches, en su mayor\u00eda de segunda mano.<\/p>\n

\u00bfCree que los precios de la gasolina son bajos? Yo no lo creo. Por supuesto, el precio del petr\u00f3leo puede seguir subiendo. Pero hay que tener en cuenta que este aumento no se repercutir\u00e1 en el precio de la gasolina. Al fin y al cabo, los costes fijos de un litro de gasolina son un componente importante.<\/p>\n

Y luego est\u00e1n los precios de las viviendas.<\/strong><\/p>\n

En general, estos tambi\u00e9n han aumentado considerablemente. Pero entonces estamos hablando de precios de venta. Los precios de los alquileres suelen subir un a\u00f1o despu\u00e9s. Esto, porque contractualmente s\u00f3lo se puede hacer un aumento una vez al a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

As\u00ed que este \u00abcoste de la vida\u00bb ser\u00e1 a\u00fan m\u00e1s alto en un futuro pr\u00f3ximo.<\/p>\n

Conclusi\u00f3n:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pero todos los factores juntos, ahora estoy de acuerdo con los Bancos Centrales por una vez, la alta inflaci\u00f3n ser\u00e1 de corta duraci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

\u00bfQu\u00e9 te parece?<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Kaspar Huijsman<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kaspar Huijsman es fundador y director de Hugo Broker (antiguo BinckBank Espa\u00f1a) y es un inversor apasionado. En sus columnas escribe sobre sus experiencias en la bolsa y la econom\u00eda. Si tiene alguna pregunta, env\u00ede un correo a kaspar@hugobroker.com<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t

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La informaci\u00f3n contenida en este art\u00edculo no debe interpretarse como un consejo de inversi\u00f3n individual. Aunque Hugo recopila y mantiene estas p\u00e1ginas a partir de fuentes fiables, no puede garantizar que la informaci\u00f3n sea exacta, completa o actual. El uso de la informaci\u00f3n de este art\u00edculo sin verificaci\u00f3n o asesoramiento previos es bajo su propio riesgo. Le aconsejamos que s\u00f3lo invierta en productos que se ajusten a sus conocimientos y experiencia y que no invierta en instrumentos financieros de los que no entienda los riesgos.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Inflaci\u00f3n, intereses e inversi\u00f3n Si inviertes y\/o sigues las noticias econ\u00f3micas, se trata principalmente de la inflaci\u00f3n, los tipos de inter\u00e9s y la forma en que los gobiernos centrales se ocupan de ellos. Dejando de lado las noticias, los mercados burs\u00e1tiles han decidido al menos marcar r\u00e9cords (estoy escribiendo esto a mediados de junio de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":34997,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"right-sidebar","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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